Re: OT: Canadian Politics
Well, there were two Federal byelections yesterday. One was in Alberta, west of Edmonton, which the Conservatives predictably won in a landslide. The other was in Jim Flaherty's old riding in Whitby-Oshawa. The Conservatives held that seat for a win as well, but for me, the final vote break-down in Whitby was the most interesting thing about either election.
First, let's look at the last couple of election results there:
2011 Federal Election:
CPC: 58.42%
LIB: 14.11%
NDP: 22.27%
2008 Federal Election:
CPC: 50.99%
LIB: 25.68%
NDP: 14.26%
...and then here are yesterday's election results:
2014 Byelection:
CPC: 49.2%
LIB: 40.7%
NDP: 8.1%
From those results, it looks like while a marginal amount of support may have drifted from the Conservatives to the Liberals, the NDP vote in the riding collapsed entirely, and almost that entire base of support stampeded over to the Liberal candidate in the riding. If this byelection is a sign of things to come in Ontario in the next federal election, the NDP may be in a world of hurt, and the Conservatives may not be able to count on being the beneficiaries of the kind of significant vote-splitting on the left side of the political spectrum we've seen in recent years in Ontario.