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GDT - Aves @ Leafs | 7:30PM TSN

number17

Mod Squad
3 games into the season, and the Leafs have not looked good IMO but we're 1-2 thanks to a gift wrapped 2 points from King Henry.

Tonight's game should go a long way in telling us, how good (or bad) the Leafs really are in this early season.

The Aves are also 1-2, losing the first 2 games to the Wild (both shutouts) and then beating the Bruins 2-1 just last night. The Aves are kinda like the Leafs in some ways - a lot of skilled, young players still developing their games. Having played the night before though, the Leafs have to realize this is a beatable team and jump on them early with our speed.

The Aves have beat the Leafs in their last 4 visits to ACC.

The Leafs have plenty of question marks regarding our roster tonight. Gardiner was removed from lineup to make room for Franson last game, and Franson provided instant result with 1G and 1A, and he made the PP so much better. I don't think Carlyle will take him out (despite Frason, as his usual bipolar self, also drove the coach nuts with his turnovers). If there's 1 Leaf d-man who is to take a seat tonight to make room for Gardiner who will it be? It won'e be Percy who has point in all 3 games early in the season. Will it be the young Rielly? Or the 37 year old Robidas who has struggled thus far in the first 3 games?

Also in question is who starts in goal? Reimer won the game for the Leafs and despite leaving early after being hit in the head, he participated in full practice yesterday and declared himself 100% ready. Bernier, OTOH, pegged 1A but has struggled in both starts thus far. He also complained of a 'slight pinch in his knee' but said he's 100% fine.

Some Leafs like Clarkson and Kessel finally got the monkey off their back scoring vs. the Rangers (thanks again Lundqvist) so we'll see how they do tonight.

And the Leafs have been outshot in all 3 games thus far, Carlyle's 'new system' looks pathetically similar to the old system that made TO the highest SA team in recent history ... will we see the same tonight?
 
2yr Stats (until the 5-10gm mark):


Line 1

C T.Bozak (28): 104gms, 31gls, 77pts, 43.9cf%, 20:40 (82gms, 25gls, 61pts)
C M.Duchene (23): 118gms, 40gls, 113pts, 49.0cf%, 19:28 (82gms, 28gls, 79pts)

W P.Kessel (27): 130gms, 57gls, 132pts, 44.9cf%, 20:21 (82gms, 36gls, 83pts)
W J.Iginla (37): 122gms, 44gls, 94pts, 52.0cf%, 18:26 (82gms, 30gls, 63pts)

W J.Vanriemsdyk (25): 128gms, 48gls, 93pts, 44.7cf%, 20:21 (82gms, 31gls, 60pts)
W J.McGinn (26): 126gms, 30gls, 60pts, 47.5cf%, 16:21 (82gms, 20gls, 39pts)

Line 2

C N.Kadri (24): 126gms, 38gls, 94pts, 45.9cf%, 16:53 (82gms, 25gls, 61pts)
C R.O'Reilly (23): 109gms, 34gls, 84pts, 50.1cf%, 19:28 (82gms, 26gls, 63pts)

W J.Lupul (31): 85gms, 33gls, 62pts, 42.8cf%, 18:01 (82gms, 31gls, 60pts)
W G.Landeskog (22): 117gms, 35gls, 82pts, 49.7cf%, 18:53 (82gms, 25gls, 58pts)

W D.Winnik (29): 124gms, 12gls, 49pts, 48.6cf%, 15:57 (82gms, 8gls, 32pts)
W D.Everberg (23): --------

Line 3

C M.Santorelli (29): 83gms, 12gls, 32pts, 50.6cf%, 15:32 (82gms, 12gls, 32pts)
C N.MacKinnon (19): 82gms, 24gls, 63pts, 46.9cf%, 17:21 (82gms, 24gls, 63pts)

W D.Clarkson (30): 108gms, 20gls, 35pts, 49.7cf%, 16:13 (82gms, 15gls, 27pts)
W A.Tanguay (35): 56gms, 15gls, 38pts, 47.7cf%, 18:46 (82gms, 22gls, 56pts)

W L.Komarov (27): 42gms, 4gls, 9pts, 45.7cf%, 13:56 (82gms, 8gls, 17pts)
W D.Briere (37): 103gms, 19gls, 41pts, 47.1cf%, 13:51 (82gms, 15gls, 33pts)

Line 4

C P.Holland (23): 64gms, 9gls, 16pts, 44.6cf% 11:26 (82gms, 12gls, 21pts)
C M.Cliche (27): 77gms, 1gls, 7pts, 41.2cf%, 10:31 (82gms, 1gls, 8pts)

W R.Panik (23): 75gms, 8gls, 22pts, 48.9cf%, 12:14 (82gms, 9gls, 24pts)
W M.Talbot (30): 116gms, 13gls, 37pts, 44.8cf%, 15:57 (82gms, 9gls, 26pts)

W B.Kozun (24): ---
W C.McLeod (30): 119gms, 13gls, 25pts, 45.1cf%, 11:27 (82gms, 9gls, 17pts)



Pair 1

D D.Phaneuf (29): 128gms, 17gls, 59pts, 41.3cf%, 24:13 (82gms, 11gls, 38pts)
D E.Johnson (26): 111gms, 9gls, 43pts, 48.4cf%, 21:22 (82gms, 7gls, 32pts)

D S.Robidas (37): 86gms, 6gls, 23pts, 49.6cf%, 21:19 (82gms, 6gls, 22pts)
D B.Stuart (35): 109gms, 3gls, 17pts, 49.8cf%, 19:44 (82gms, 2gls, 13pts)

Pair 2

D C.Franson (27): 124gms, 9gls, 62pts, 45.2cf%, 20:00 (82gms, 6gls, 41pts)
D T.Barrie (23): 96gms, 15gls, 51pts, 50.4cf%, 19:34 (82gms, 13gls, 44pts)

D M.Rielly (20): 73gms, 2gls, 27pts, 44.5cf%, 17:37 (82gms, 2gls, 30pts)
D N.Holden (27): 56gms, 10gls, 25pts, 48.0cf%, 18:19 (82gms, 15gls, 37pts)

Pair 3

D R.Polak (28): 120gms, 5gls, 19pts, 49.5cf%, 17:46 (82gms, 3gls, 13pts)
D J.Hejda (36): 124gms, 7gls, 27pts, 45.9cf%, 21:21 (82gms, 5gls, 18pts)

D S.Percy (21): -----
D R.Wilson (27): 40gms, 0gls, 9pts, 46.6cf%, 15:49 (82gms, 0gls, 19pts)
D N.Guenin (31): 83gms, 3gls, 11pts, 44.8cf%, 16:10 (82gms, 0gls, 19pts)



Starting Goalie

G J.Reimer (26): .917sv% (69gms)
G S.Varlamov (26): .919sv% (98gms)

Backup Goalie

G J.Bernier (26): .922sv% (69gms)
G R.Berra (27): .893sv% (31gms)



Injured / Suspended

W D.Booth (30): 78gms, 10gls, 22pts, 53.0cf%, 13:21 (82gms, 11gls, 23pts)

C J.Mitchell (29): 122gms, 21gls, 52pts, 47.5cf%, 16:27 (82gms, 14gls, 35pts)
W J.Winchester (31): 52gms, 9gls, 18pts, 51.8cf%, 12:44 (82gms, 14gls, 28pts)
W P.Bordeleau (28): 128gms, 8gls, 16pts, 43.1cf%, 6:28 (82gms, 5gls, 10pts)
 
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I almost forgot Iggy signed in Col.

And I don't believe McKinnon plays on the 3rd line does he? I thought he plays wing in the top 6?

but yeah the Aves are stacked down the middle - Duchene, O'Reilly, McKinnon
 
they started the year with O'Rielly on the wing, but after two straight losses moved O'Reilly back to center and MacKinnon down a line, and they won with that yesterday so I assume they keep it.
 
Good to see Reimer getting the start after Sunday's performance. Should be a good confidence boost/motivator. Need him to get back on form.

The top line will hopefully shore up its defensive shortcomings. Good to hear from JVR that he didn't think they played very well on Sunday. Kadri and Santorelli lines looked good on the weekend. Hopefully the team can build on the stability they are providing.

Gotta worry that the AVs are going to have an offensive outburst. They've been twisting in the wind so far ... just a matter of time with the forward talent they have.
 
Apparently the advanced stats say that we played better against Montreal. No surprising as King Henrik was god awful and the Leafs got some fortunate bounces. Predicting a Leafs loss, 4-2.
 
Can't say I blame Randy for going back to a winning lineup but man, I never would've imagined Gardiner would be in the press box for Games 3 and 4.
 
James Mirtle @mirtle
Sense is Jake Gardiner will play tonight but no idea who sits.
 
It's a damn good sign the Coaching lineup is lineup adjusting much, much more quickly this year.

Depth + Internal Competition is how you get the maximum effort out of players. Helps to have a sharper coaching staff who can evaluate who is actually playing well, too.

It will develop a sense of fairness amongst the players, as well. Has to be a motivating factor for Reimer that he is getting back in there tonight. And not sitting on the pine, for another 10 games because he's the "backup".
 
Reimer confirmed starter
Good to hear. They keep saying in public that this is still a 1A/1B type situation, so since Bernier's looked like dog shit so far and Reimer played well on Sunday, this is the move they had to make.

As for Gardiner, I hope he escapes the press box, but I really don't know who they take out of the lineup to do that.
 
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Jonas Siegel ‏@jonasTSN1050 2m2 minutes ago
Randy Carlyle won't say if Jake Gardiner will play tonight. Asked what Gardiner needs to do if he does get in, Carlyle said "play better".
 
Would like to see the Leafs win - well, in general - but on the possession / shot count metrics tonight, against an Avs team that is weak in those areas.
 
It will be interesting to see if Carlyle tries something really weird in that he plays 7D and Gardiner plays D to rotate through some players getting a few rest shifts and Gards plays the wing on the fourth line replacing Kozun or whomever.

That fourth line played something like 1 minute of the third period against the rangers.... I wonder if they sit a forward for a game and give some minutes to Gardiner that way..... Just thinking aloud here.
 
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