OT: American Politics
- Thread starter MindzEye
- Start date
Altair
Well-known member
Altair
Well-known member
I think Habsy is wealthy enough for his kids to have bone spurs.
MindzEye
Wayward Ditch Pig
Got put on to an excellent site that is tracking approval/disapproval of Trump by state, on a monthly basis. We were talking about this recently, regarding the GOP's electoral chances in November, and Trump's shot at re election in 2020.
So which states did Trump win that he's even or underwater in now?
State (Jan 17 Approval-Disapproval/July 18 Approval-Disapproval)
Arizona (55-35/48-48)
Iowa (49-40/46-50)
Michigan (48-40/44-52)
Ohio (51-37/47-49)
Penn (49-39/46-51)
Utah (58-31/48-48)
Wisconsin (47-41/41-55)
That's gotta be somewhere in the range of 60-70 electoral votes that look likely to shift at present. The other danger Trump is facing, is the amount of GOP won states with high disapproval numbers:
State (Jan 17 Disapproval/July 18 Disapproval)
Florida (34/45)
Georgia (35/45)
Indiana (33/45)
Kansas (32/45)
Missouri (34/45)
Montana (32/44)
N Carolina (35/47)
Nebraska (33/46)
N Dakota (33/46)
Oklahoma (27/40)
S Carolina (31/41)
Tennessee (28/40)
Texas (34/43)
Now, I don't really expect Republicans lose (m)any of those states in 2020, but where that does get important is in the distribution of assets. If any of these turn into legit battlegrounds, that's less money, personnel, etc that can be spent on legit swing states where the results are very much in doubt. Every dollar spent defending traditional home turf is a dollar that can't go for TV adds in Ohio, or Pennsylvania.
When you look at his approval numbers, they haven't wavered much in a lot of the important spots since the election. But they were pretty much historically low from the onset, and the disapproval numbers have sky rocketed pretty much across the board.
So which states did Trump win that he's even or underwater in now?
State (Jan 17 Approval-Disapproval/July 18 Approval-Disapproval)
Arizona (55-35/48-48)
Iowa (49-40/46-50)
Michigan (48-40/44-52)
Ohio (51-37/47-49)
Penn (49-39/46-51)
Utah (58-31/48-48)
Wisconsin (47-41/41-55)
That's gotta be somewhere in the range of 60-70 electoral votes that look likely to shift at present. The other danger Trump is facing, is the amount of GOP won states with high disapproval numbers:
State (Jan 17 Disapproval/July 18 Disapproval)
Florida (34/45)
Georgia (35/45)
Indiana (33/45)
Kansas (32/45)
Missouri (34/45)
Montana (32/44)
N Carolina (35/47)
Nebraska (33/46)
N Dakota (33/46)
Oklahoma (27/40)
S Carolina (31/41)
Tennessee (28/40)
Texas (34/43)
Now, I don't really expect Republicans lose (m)any of those states in 2020, but where that does get important is in the distribution of assets. If any of these turn into legit battlegrounds, that's less money, personnel, etc that can be spent on legit swing states where the results are very much in doubt. Every dollar spent defending traditional home turf is a dollar that can't go for TV adds in Ohio, or Pennsylvania.
When you look at his approval numbers, they haven't wavered much in a lot of the important spots since the election. But they were pretty much historically low from the onset, and the disapproval numbers have sky rocketed pretty much across the board.
MindzEye
Wayward Ditch Pig
Habsy
Yes, I'm kidding people.
Son just turned 27.
Habsy
Yes, I'm kidding people.
Nice.
No, I’m set for retirement but not inflicting my children on the planet like F Trump did.
Lol. F. Trump.
Habsy
Yes, I'm kidding people.
I truly wouldn’t put it past her.
Habsy
Yes, I'm kidding people.
Funny but I had surgery to remove bone spurs last year, ****ers were ripping up my foot and Achilles.
Habsy
Yes, I'm kidding people.
It’s going to definitely depend on who the Dems put up against him. Sarah Palin maybe? She could convert.
MindzEye
Wayward Ditch Pig
They would have to run a completely dreadful candidate again. Which isn't outside the realm of possibilities. ****, it isn't even unlikely. But even against another dreadful candidate, Trump may not win. Hillary would have won had she paid lip service to getting illegal immigration under control, and improving the economies of the rust belt, and she was terrible.
