zeke
Well-known member
I might add the habs to this at some point for fun, but really I wanted to start tracking how we compared to the Bolts.
Obviously the Bolts are doing much better possession wise, which makes it tough for us to decide how to balance the pos% with the relative and decide what they say about each player. The individuals look similar relative to team, so we have to decided how much of the team possession advantage they have is due to player talent vs. coaching systems.
When we look at team stats, though, we have to really consider the massive special teams differential - The bolts are 1st in PP opportunities and 6th in times shorthanded, while the leafs are last in both.
All stats adjusted for score effects:
Even Strength (not including empty net situations):
TBL: 3.12gf/60 (#1), 2.47xgf/60 (#9), 54.4cf/60 (#4) --- 2.39ga/60 (#17), 1.86xga/60 (#1), 44.2ca/60 (#1)
TOR: 2.69gf/60 (#7), 2.48xgf/60 (#8), 53.3cf/60 (#6) --- 2.10ga/60 (#5), 2.52xga/60 (#27), 52.4ca/60 (#28)
Offensively, the Bolts seem to be a lucky, but they also seem to be unlucky defensively (or just have bad goaltending) as the stats suggest they're the best defensive team in the league so far. The Leafs are full marks for their offense, but are getting bailed out defensively by their goalies.
Power Play --- Penalty Kill
TBL: 3.72gf/60 (#2), 2.07xgf/60 (#23), 48.3cf/60 (#16) ---- 1.89ga/60 (#5), 2.17xga/60 (#11), 53.2ca/60 (#26)
TOR: 3.29gf/60 (#6), 3.73xgf/60 (#1), 56.9cf/60 (#2) ---- 2.48ga/60 (#12), 2.47xga/60 (#19), 51.7ca/60 (#21)
The Bolts seemt to be lucky on their PPs, while the Leafs are a bit unlucky. Both are getting lucky/good goaltending on the PK.
Obviously the Bolts are doing much better possession wise, which makes it tough for us to decide how to balance the pos% with the relative and decide what they say about each player. The individuals look similar relative to team, so we have to decided how much of the team possession advantage they have is due to player talent vs. coaching systems.
When we look at team stats, though, we have to really consider the massive special teams differential - The bolts are 1st in PP opportunities and 6th in times shorthanded, while the leafs are last in both.
All stats adjusted for score effects:
Even Strength (not including empty net situations):
TBL: 3.12gf/60 (#1), 2.47xgf/60 (#9), 54.4cf/60 (#4) --- 2.39ga/60 (#17), 1.86xga/60 (#1), 44.2ca/60 (#1)
TOR: 2.69gf/60 (#7), 2.48xgf/60 (#8), 53.3cf/60 (#6) --- 2.10ga/60 (#5), 2.52xga/60 (#27), 52.4ca/60 (#28)
Offensively, the Bolts seem to be a lucky, but they also seem to be unlucky defensively (or just have bad goaltending) as the stats suggest they're the best defensive team in the league so far. The Leafs are full marks for their offense, but are getting bailed out defensively by their goalies.
Power Play --- Penalty Kill
TBL: 3.72gf/60 (#2), 2.07xgf/60 (#23), 48.3cf/60 (#16) ---- 1.89ga/60 (#5), 2.17xga/60 (#11), 53.2ca/60 (#26)
TOR: 3.29gf/60 (#6), 3.73xgf/60 (#1), 56.9cf/60 (#2) ---- 2.48ga/60 (#12), 2.47xga/60 (#19), 51.7ca/60 (#21)
The Bolts seemt to be lucky on their PPs, while the Leafs are a bit unlucky. Both are getting lucky/good goaltending on the PK.
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