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Thread: Odds of Habs making the playoffs

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    Draft Choice Rocket's Avatar
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    Default Odds of Habs making the playoffs

    Vegas odds at the start of the year paied 5 to 1 if you picked Habs to make the playoffs.

    As it stands right now, I'm thinking it's about 50/50. 2 to 1.

    The powerplay is terrible, the top guns are slowing down, the last stretch of the season includes arugably the most difficult one with matches vs CBJ, WPG, TBL, WSH and TOR in that order to end the season.

    The Sabres and Panthers are slumping bad.

    How do you guys see the chances of Habs making it ? Predictions ?

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    Legend worm's Avatar
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    Default Re: Odds of Habs making the playoffs

    65%
    ...

  3. #3
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    Default Re: Odds of Habs making the playoffs

    That's what the number crunching websites say. If TB, Toronto, Washington, Pittsburgh and Boston are considered locks, the Habs are competing with Columbus, Buffalo, NY Islanders and maybe Carolina for 3 spots. They're slightly ahead of Buffalo and Carolina so they have a bit of a leg up on those two. I think they make it if there are no major injuries (specifically to Price or Weber), especially if they add a good LD at the deadline. Whether or not trading draft picks/prospects for that LD is worth it is another story.

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    Default Re: Odds of Habs making the playoffs

    This team will be back to the regular, making the playoffs out in 1st/2nd round for the next 5+ years. Then Price will get too old to trade, and we'll be eating his contract and we'll have some other dead weights, and a new GM will be here for 2025. The small rebuild was nice while it lasted but there's still not enough first line talent up front or on D.
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    Wrong Thinker Extraordinaire Habsy's Avatar
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    Default Re: Odds of Habs making the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by Rocket View Post
    Vegas odds at the start of the year paied 5 to 1 if you picked Habs to make the playoffs.

    As it stands right now, I'm thinking it's about 50/50. 2 to 1.

    The powerplay is terrible, the top guns are slowing down, the last stretch of the season includes arugably the most difficult one with matches vs CBJ, WPG, TBL, WSH and TOR in that order to end the season.

    The Sabres and Panthers are slumping bad.

    How do you guys see the chances of Habs making it ? Predictions ?
    Habs will make the playoffs in the 8 slot IMO. I think the Sabres will eventually fade out and the Isles underlying numbers aren't great.

    Playoffs are a different animal and if Price is on his game and team D is solid, anything can happen. I don't see a deep playoff run but an upset in the first round would be nice. I'd rather avoid the Lightning though.
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    Default Re: Odds of Habs making the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by xposbrad View Post
    This team will be back to the regular, making the playoffs out in 1st/2nd round for the next 5+ years. Then Price will get too old to trade, and we'll be eating his contract and we'll have some other dead weights, and a new GM will be here for 2025. The small rebuild was nice while it lasted but there's still not enough first line talent up front or on D.
    Price will be in Seattle in 3 years

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    Legend Altair's Avatar
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    Default Re: Odds of Habs making the playoffs

    If the habs don't fix the powerplay, they are not making the post season.

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    Canadiens & 'News & Views' Moderator TheCountofMonteCristo's Avatar
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    Default Re: Odds of Habs making the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by GEEMAN View Post
    Price will be in Seattle in 3 years
    Nah, he won't be. He has a NMC and loves Montreal.
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    Canadiens & 'News & Views' Moderator TheCountofMonteCristo's Avatar
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    Default Re: Odds of Habs making the playoffs

    Edmonton could miss again. What a waste of 97's career. He should have been like an NBA player and demanded a trade from that organization.
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    Default Re: Odds of Habs making the playoffs

    It's gotta be in the 75%-80% likelihood by now, no?

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    Default Re: Odds of Habs making the playoffs

    If they keep giving up 40 or more shots a game the odds will decrease. If they fix that, probably about 65-70 percent (Buffalo has games in hand so it canít be 80 percent).

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    Default Re: Odds of Habs making the playoffs

    Why are we guessing about this? There has to be a something that actually outlines it.

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    Default Re: Odds of Habs making the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by CaptainBolduke View Post
    Why are we guessing about this? There has to be a something that actually outlines it.
    Itís apparently 73.1 percent after last night.
    Last edited by Krustchev; 01-16-2019 at 12:48 PM.

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    Default Re: Odds of Habs making the playoffs

    Nice.

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    Canadiens Moderator DonKay's Avatar
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    Default Re: Odds of Habs making the playoffs

    I would peg it at 75%.

    More so because there are really only 4 teams battling for two wildcard spots and one of them still has some catching up to do which is Carolina.

    I think one of the Sabres or Isles will fizzle out if it's not already happening with Buffalo.
    Go Habs Go!

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    Canadiens & 'News & Views' Moderator TheCountofMonteCristo's Avatar
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    Default Re: Odds of Habs making the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by Krustchev View Post
    If they keep giving up 40 or more shots a game the odds will decrease. If they fix that, probably about 65-70 percent (Buffalo has games in hand so it can’t be 80 percent).
    Price usually plays better with 40 shots against.
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    Canadiens & 'News & Views' Moderator TheCountofMonteCristo's Avatar
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    Default Re: Odds of Habs making the playoffs

    The percentages are meaningless. We were at 99% in 2015 and finished way out.

    Still, we would have to choke to miss.
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    Default Re: Odds of Habs making the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by TheCountofMonteCristo View Post
    The percentages are meaningless. We were at 99% in 2015 and finished way out.

    Still, we would have to choke to miss.
    Not really. Assuming that we were at 99% in 2015, after at least enough games played to render the calculation at least somewhat statistically relevant, and then didn't make it, just shows how monumental the collapse was that season. A collapse of that nature again is unlikely (hence the 99% likelihood that would make the playoffs that season).
    Last edited by Krustchev; 01-16-2019 at 03:51 PM.

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    Default Re: Odds of Habs making the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by DonKay View Post
    I would peg it at 75%.

    More so because there are really only 4 teams battling for two wildcard spots and one of them still has some catching up to do which is Carolina.

    I think one of the Sabres or Isles will fizzle out if it's not already happening with Buffalo.
    Again, you don't need to guess. These are calculated for us with algorithms and facts.

  20. #20
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    Default Re: Odds of Habs making the playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by TheCountofMonteCristo View Post
    Price usually plays better with 40 shots against.
    Price has a near .920 save percentage since ThanksGiving.

    Price has been good for a long time now.
    Last edited by CaptainBolduke; 01-16-2019 at 04:25 PM.

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