When Weber was in the same situation as PK (coming off his "bridge deal"), he and the Preds actually ended up going through arbitration.
The end result of that was that Weber was awarded a one-year deal worth more than $7M per season, and then the next summer once he became an RFA again, he visited with about six different teams before signing an offer sheet with Philadelphia.
Can't really say I agree. It's almost unheard of for a player in this day and age to suffer a career-ending injury at PK's age. As for his stock falling, if there's one thing PK doesn't lack, it's confidence. So I doubt that the worry of his play falling of dramatically plays too much into his thinking.
If that's the Habs' "leverage" in this situation, I don't think it counts for a whole helluva lot.
I'll give anyone here 2 to 1 odds on a bet of up to $100 that Subban will be a Hab (or at least sign a deal that makes him a Hab) beyond 2015-16.
Obviously he could sign a longer deal and end up traded... but he will not be a UFA come July of 2016.
I dunno, I'd deny it. I think it's unquestionable that it's in the best interest of the Habs to sign him long-term right now, because the closer PK gets to unrestricted free agency, the more he's going to cost and the greater the chance of him leaving becomes.Again I never said they have a lot, in fact I conceded that it was definitely not a lot. However, there's no denying that it's in PK's best interest to sign a long term deal now. And any time a player is still RFA for a couple more year the team does have at least some leverage. Chicago had almost none. They were a year away from the players being able to just walk away. The Habs have 2 years of PK whether he likes it or not. And they can trade him in that time if the worst happens.
I don't think the Habs have any delusions of signing PK for under $7.5m or $8m a year. In fact I'm sure they expect to have to pay more than 8... but they have to try to get the best deal they can. That's every GM's job. Conversely I don't think PK and his agent expect $12m a year... but they have to try to maximize their money too.
You can't compare every negotiation. Sure some deals get signed earlier... but maybe those teams/players were a lot closer at their starting points. Maybe Chicago was offering $9.5 a year and Kane and Toews were apparently asking for $12m. So both sides felt comfortable with a compromise of $10.5.
I dunno, I'd deny it. I think it's unquestionable that it's in the best interest of the Habs to sign him long-term right now, because the closer PK gets to unrestricted free agency, the more he's going to cost and the greater the chance of him leaving becomes.
From PK's perspective though, no matter what, he's going to make a minimum of 14-16 million over the next two seasons. And if he waits until the summer of 2016 to sign a long term deal, by that point, he's likely going to be getting a contract that will pay him in excess of 10 million dollars annually, because the salary cap's going to keep going up, and other star players are going to be following in the footsteps of Toews and Kane by signing long-term deals that'll edge closer and closer to the cap on individual player contracts.
The only way there's any sense of urgency on PK's part is if, as you mentioned, he's worried about a career ending injury in the next two years, or a serious decline in his play. But I seriously doubt that plays into his thinking much, if at all.
Being an organization that makes your stud and his agent sweat strikes me as by far the biggest precedent you're setting though, and it's not a good one.
You don't think that setting the tone for future negotiations is favourable for the team?
I'm not talking about just Subban here - but for all future contracts.
The team is effectively telling the players and agents that if they want to flex their muscles in arbitration, that they will take them to the final minutes. Hopeful net effect - more productive talks pre-arbitration.
If it goes to arbitration it's likely to get negative but for now the only thing that's negative is the media and fan narrative.Not when the tone is negative, no.
That's the problem. You don't treat Subban like others.
More likely to damage the relationship than anything else. You do this stuff with the replaceable 3rd line winger, not with the norris calibre defender than you can't replace.
That's the problem. You don't treat Subban like others
You have to be careful. There is a difference between being a tough negotiator and a jerk that no one wants to deal with. Who wants a Scott Boras running their team?
You want PK to love being in Montreal and want to stay there forever. At the end of the day there is just no reason not to be fair with your cornerstone players.
This. Montreal essentially has the new face of the NHL in their grasp right now. A charasmatic star who can bring popularity of the game to new levels.
Its a great thing for the organization to have that type of guy on their roster.
He grew up a Habs fan, loves the city and the team. I don't think that is an issue.
its rather odd then that he had a Leafs Dougie jersey growing up...