Re: Galchenyuk traded
DOMI IS A ****ING WINGER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Okay, here's the good news by way of fancy stats
Domi: 1.64 P/60, 1.30 P1/60, -0.51 RelCF%, -0.45 RelxGF
AG: 1.40 P/60, 1.11 P1/60, -2.02 RelCF%, -6.05 RelxGF
Both had similar quality of competition, and zone starts.
So the good news? Domi was a lot better than AG was last year.
The bad news? Last year was pretty easily AG's worst year of his career offensively
16/17: 1.74 P/60, 1.49 P1/60
15/16: 2.09 P/60, 1.62 P1/60
14/15: 1.79 P/60, 1.51 P1/60
The other good news though? It was also a bad year for Domi last year compared to his others. It's hard to not break this down as a near wash offensively, but with Domi being the better possession/goal results driver.
That is of course ignoring the fact that Phoenix's GM is a massive stats nerd and knows everything I just posted (and much more), and also likely sees AG as a centre. So if he (and both of us) are wrong and AG never pans out as a centre, the Habs probably at least break even on this trade, and maybe win it (5 on 5 anyway)
The other bad news? That's only looking at this from a 5 on 5 stand point. The powerplay difference is monstrous
Combined 3 yrs:
AG: 5.64 P/60, 3.88 P1/60
Max: 3.43 P/60, 2.22 P1/60
To put that in perspective. Auston Matthews has a 2.22 P1/60 over the first 2 seasons in his NHL career 5 on 5. Domi is as offensively impactful on the man advantage as Matthews is 5 on 5.
That's not good.
So you've probably gotten a bit better 5 on 5 (assuming AG is just a winger), and a lot worse on the PP.