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The Official 2026 Off-Season Thread: Revenge of the Nerds

Dobber Prospects:

Alexander Bilecki

Final Rankings: Bilecki is a cerebral OHL defenseman with strong passing touch and spatial awareness. He consistently delivers accurate, well-weighted passes that support breakouts and offensive-zone play, and shows flashes of high-end distribution. He activates well offensively, but skating is stiff, and his urgency and pace under pressure remain concerns defensively. – Ryan Ma


Elite Prospects:


Shades of Vince Dunn
Summary
The explosive-skating, chance-creating defender played a third-pair role on a deep team, but has the potential to be one of the top defencemen in this class.

Prospect profile​

There’s a parallel universe in which Alexander Bilecki gets the minutes needed to showcase his higher-end skills more frequently and competes with the top group of defencemen for the title of best back-end playmaker.

It’s not this world, unfortunately. Bilecki only played a bottom-pairing role for the deep OHL champion Kitchener Rangers, picking up points against lower competition. But if he does get those top-four minutes next season, we envision a meteoric rise.

Bilecki attacks defences, beating the first forechecker with a fake and an explosive change of direction, before piercing right through neutral zone coverages. He creates high-danger scoring chances regularly off the rush, often with a give-and-go followed by a backhand slot pass.

One of the best backhand passers in the draft, Bilecki constantly finds solutions to pressure. With his explosive skating, a large playmaking arsenal, and deceptive acts, he pushes the play forward, orchestrating the power play while also helping Kitchener’s ever-dangerous formation at 5-on-5.

“He's playing about 12-15 minutes in the postseason, but he's making the most of his ice time,” OHL scout Lauren Kelly wrote in an April report.

“Picked up two assists in this game, including a slick one on the power play that saw him lead the rush up ice through the middle, handle around a closing defender, and hook a pass to a teammate as he was falling.”

His limited role and defensive game capped how high we could rank him on our board. Bilecki is still learning the intricacies of it: When to close out, hold his position, scan for threats, and rotate properly. There’s a physical side to his game, so we’re confident he will improve as a stopper, but at this stage, he’s more of a fourth forward than a complete defenceman.

“There was a great half-ice 2-on-1 sequence where he took the middle away with the false gap, accelerated with a crossover, pivoted, and got a breakup,” Head of Scouting Mitchell Brown wrote in a January report.

Bilecki is the perfect second-rounder, offering a high level of upside despite the risk associated with his projection. A team in need of a future power play quarterback should target him, considering that he has NHL-level tools and size to go with his playmaking skills.
 
If they can rehab him a bit, yeah. But 3rd pair d on expiring contracts typically go for ~3rd round picks at the deadline, like when the Leafs got Lybushkin (Carlo is about at that level). If one is higher on Carlo than that and can fool a team into thinking he's a second pair guy, then you can maybe squeeze out a late 1st.

But 2026 3rds may be better than 2027 2nds so if I'm the leafs I'll take it

They’ll break even at least, it’s like a free call option. Who knows? The Bereube stank may have affected him too
 
it is a bit concerning that Chayka couldn't figure out that attaching Macelli to Carlo would've maximized the return
His value turned out to be basically zero. Imagine Chaykes holding out to improve whatever the offer was to get two 3rds.

I underestimated just how badly his Leafs run trashed his value. I thought the teams that liked him before would still like him now. Heck, you’d think Boston would take him back for more than this. Just pathetic.
 
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