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Leafs' Prospect/Marlies Discussion Thread!

1. Mckenna

2. Koblar
3. Bilecki
4. Danford

5. MacKenzie
6. Chadwick
7. Johansson
8. Holinka
9. Akhtyamov
10. Villeneuve

If Cowan is considered a prospect...

1. Mckenna

2. Cowan
3. Koblar
4. Bilecki
5. Danford

6. MacKenzie
7. Chadwick
8. Johansson
9. Holinka
10. Akhtyamov
 
Except that our #3 doesn’t make the top 100, which seems wrong given recent performances.

Some guys on that list were drafted 5 years ago though so it seems a bit off anyway.
 
Not angry about Koblar/Bilecki/Danford not making a top-100 list at the moment tbh. But they're in that mix.

Danford is always going to be in tough on lists like these because of the lack of offensive output at all levels. It's almost impossible to project his value to a NHL team until we see him handling the toughs in the NHL. If he can do that, he's massively valuable. If he can't, well, he's capped out as a bottom pairing/PK guy.

Bilecki will be a riser if the production bump we're expecting from moar usage comes, and Koblar is hard to put a value to right now because he's so young for his draft class (still 18 for another week ffs), his D+1 SHL production looks pedestrian (see point #1, he's basically an entire dev year behind) and his small sample performance at the worlds would be doing the vast majority of the heavy lifting on any top 100 ranking.

Our system is at least interesting this year, with the potential for a handful of real risers.
 
After taking a look at the list, there's a pretty obvious spot to slot Cowan into the 30's that didn't happen for what I'm sure are very serious reasons.

35) Brady Martin - Was 1.0 PPG in his D+1 OHL season, but Wheeler jerks off to his competitiveness while admitting that his skill is limited and he's a #3-4C prospect.
36) Calum Ritchie - Selected just before Cowan in the 2023 draft, with a similar but lesser OHL career than Cowan, and then a similar (but worse when you include the nerdies) 20 yr old rookie season. 34 spots higher, for reasons.
37) Dalibor Dvorsky - #10 pick in the same draft, went to the OHL for his D+1 season and was outproduced by Cowan in his. Both had their NHL rookie seasons this past season and Cowan's was better in both the counting stats and the nerdies.
39) Justin Carbonneau - QMJHL D+1 season was fine, but nothing remotely like what Cowan did in a better junior league.

All of this without mentioning Cowan's championship pedigree, where he's now been the best player on two straight OHL titles, and one of the best players as a 20-21 yr old rookie on a AHL championship team. When that gets mentioned by Wheeler, it gets explained away instead of celebrated:

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Lists are fun and create engagement. That's why sports publications are obsessed with them! You don't have to agree with them or take them as gospel to discuss them!

But yeah Wheeler has always hated Cowan. I think it's an ego thing since he had him ranked pretty low when he was drafted. For example, just looking at MEs list, he had Ritchie ranked 19 in 2023 and Dvorsky ranked 8th. He had Cowan at 97. So even though Cowan has been every bit as good as those guys, he's always gonna have him far lower because he got the evaluation wrong on that particular player. And he's the type of guy that loves bringing up the guys he was right about while ignoring his misses.
 
Lists are fun and create engagement. That's why sports publications are obsessed with them! You don't have to agree with them or take them as gospel to discuss them!

But yeah Wheeler has always hated Cowan. I think it's an ego thing since he had him ranked pretty low when he was drafted. For example, just looking at MEs list, he had Ritchie ranked 19 in 2023 and Dvorsky ranked 8th. He had Cowan at 97. So even though Cowan has been every bit as good as those guys, he's always gonna have him far lower because he got the evaluation wrong on that particular player. And he's the type of guy that loves bringing up the guys he was right about while ignoring his misses.

Exactly. These dudes get attached to their favourites — they’ve been watching these dudes for years. One of these guys was never high on Lane Hutson, and even after his Calder season, trashed him for his skating
 
It’s not even debatable that it’s just a media job. How is someone supposed to be equally well versed in what’s going on in Russia, Sweden and North Dakota
 
Lists are fun and create engagement. That's why sports publications are obsessed with them! You don't have to agree with them or take them as gospel to discuss them!

But yeah Wheeler has always hated Cowan. I think it's an ego thing since he had him ranked pretty low when he was drafted. For example, just looking at MEs list, he had Ritchie ranked 19 in 2023 and Dvorsky ranked 8th. He had Cowan at 97. So even though Cowan has been every bit as good as those guys, he's always gonna have him far lower because he got the evaluation wrong on that particular player. And he's the type of guy that loves bringing up the guys he was right about while ignoring his misses.


Wheeler does fall in love a bit too much with his guys. I remember back around the start of the Matthews era in Toronto, he did a series he called “The Gifted”, which was a bunch of deep-dive profiles on a select group of prospects (mostly Euro skill midgets picked in the middle rounds) that he deemed to have extraordinary talents and greater potential than was generally acknowledged in hockey circles.

I’m pretty confident that every single one of the guys he profiled busted. Like, didn’t even come close to being legit NHLers.
 
It’s not even debatable that it’s just a media job. How is someone supposed to be equally well versed in what’s going on in Russia, Sweden and North Dakota
My YouTube scouting has been nearly infallible and I haven’t needed to physically attend any games anywhere, so these are all just excuses.
 
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