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OT: American Politics

“eligible” employees.

the reality is that the bonus payments are a drop in the bucket relative to the deposits.
 
This bank was effed by a crazy confluence of factors. Explosive growth of tech companies in 2020, cash rich positions, turning of the tech market leading to withdrawals and all of the cash was invested in safe U.S. bonds that have been significantly devalued due to the feds interest rate hikes.

the bank bigly fucked up though, by not diversifying it’s investments.
 
GOLDMAN: “In light of recent stress in the banking system, we no longer expect the #FOMC to deliver a rate hike at its March 22 meeting with considerable uncertainty about the path beyond March.”
 
This bank was effed by a crazy confluence of factors. Explosive growth of tech companies in 2020, cash rich positions, turning of the tech market leading to withdrawals and all of the cash was invested in safe U.S. bonds that have been significantly devalued due to the feds interest rate hikes.

the bank bigly fucked up though, by not diversifying it’s investments.

This. It’s almost always this. Stress tests exist. When interest rates are near zero, you need to imagine those scenarios when they aren’t.
 
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Fed is backstopping all the deposits

But stock will go to zero most probably.

My hunch is it won’t affect the Fed’s interest decision all that much — they were close to pausing for a bit anyway, as they need to see if these rate hikes are working
 
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Fed is backstopping all the deposits

But stock will go to zero most probably.

My hunch is it won’t affect the Fed’s interest decision all that much — they were close to pausing for a bit anyway, as they need to see if these rate hikes are working
As recently as last week we were being told that a 50bp increase was the market expectation.
 
He's also proven more than any other President in the modern era that very few actually give a fuck about policy.

Politics is officially a soap opera now and only the dominate narrative matters.
 
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