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Phil Kessel

Kessel, who leads the NHL with 16 goals and 31 points, has taken the overall lead in the 2012 NHL All-Star Fan Balloting with 258,446 votes after two weeks of voting. He was second among forwards and third overall last week in the voting for the 2012 Tim Horton's NHL All-Star Game, which takes place Jan. 29 at Scotiabank Place in Ottawa.

Kessel jumped a pair of Ottawa Senators to claim first place this week. Defenseman Erik Karlsson, who led the voting last week, dropped to second overall with 256,839 votes. Senators captain Daniel Alfredsson is third with 233,868 votes.
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http://www.nhl.com/ice/news.htm?id=603781
 
[video=youtube;UPwQnGIQ2lY]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UPwQnGIQ2lY&feature=related[/video]
 
He talked about wanting a be considered a great player and scoring 50 goals. He's on pace for 55 right now.
 
Who is clutch?

Similar to "win probability added" in baseball, the Clutch Performance Indicator is derived by looking at the current game situation -- the period in which the goal was scored, the score at the time of the goal and the time remaining -- and determining what percentage chance each team has of winning the contest in that situation. The data for those percentages is based on all previous hockey games for which we have available, complete information. CPI then awards each skater a fraction of a win for each goal he is involved in, in every game he plays.

For example, let's say a skater lights the lamp unassisted in the first period to break a 1-1 tie. This increases the team's win probability from 50 percent to 59.1 percent, for a gain of 9.1 percent. Since it was unassisted, the skater gets full credit, which in this hypothetical is plus-.091. A goal in the third period that puts his team ahead 3-1 adds an extra 20.1 percent of win probability. For tallies with primary and/or secondary assists, the credit is divvied up between them (55/30/15 split, based on historical ratios) so as to not punish the playmakers.

CPI cares only about how much a skater actually helped his team win, based on context. In other words, how "clutch" the player was, which makes it perfect for measuring what people always thought they were trying to measure with goals and assists: how much he helped his team win.
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The top 10 most clutch players of 2011-12, through Nov. 28.

Rank Player Team Points CPI

1 Thomas Vanek Buffalo Sabres 26 3.39
The Austrian sniper already has 12 goals and 14 assists in 23 games this season; he would set a career high in points if this pace continues.

2 Mike Richards Los Angeles Kings 19 3.06
Five of Richards' 10 goals have been the first goal of the game, which ties Vanek for the league lead.

3 Loui Eriksson Dallas Stars 20 2.94
With Brad Richards gone, Eriksson has taken a larger role in Dallas' offense, setting a pace for 35 goals, 35 assists and 232 shots on net.

4 Jonathan Toews Chicago Blackhawks 25 2.73
Toews is tied for third in goals with 13, and is sixth in points with 25. He also leads the NHL in game-winning goals (4).

5 Phil Kessel Toronto Maple Leafs 31 2.69
The NHL's most productive player, Kessel leads the NHL with 16 goals and 31 points.

6 Joe Pavelski San Jose Sharks 20 2.54
Pavelski has 11 goals and 20 points in 21 games this season, with five of those points coming on the power play.

7 Patrik Elias New Jersey Devils 20 2.51
Elias is on pace for his most productive season since 2008-09, when he scored 78 points for the Devils. He has eight goals and 12 assists.

8 Claude Giroux Philadelphia Flyers 29 2.40
Atop many first-quarter MVP ballots, Giroux has 13 goals and 16 assists; his 29 points is tied for second in the NHL behind Phil Kessel.

9 Joffrey Lupul Toronto Maple Leafs 29 2.29
Lupul is making the most of his time on a line with Phil Kessel, recording six goals and 12 assists in November alone.

10 Milan Michalek Ottawa Senators 20 2.29
Michalek is producing almost a point-per-game, with 20 points in 24 games so far.
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Had to laugh at the Sun today dedicating a column to Dougie Hamilton and claiming he's the "Forgotten Man" in that trade. Christ, could those 3 get any more press that Boston drafted with the Leafs picks?
 
Kessel starting one of his patented ugly streaks:

Last 5 games: 3 assists and -7.

And those games included three wins.
 
The only player in all of hockey that doesn't go through one of the streaks that Kessel has apparently "patented" is Sidney Crosby.
 
No goals in 19 games = snake bit, one of our top 4 forwards, 35 goal scorer
No goals in 5 games = start of ugly streak


No, you don't have an incredible (even for this place) level of bias, not at all. Your outlook on this matter has nothing to do with the fact that you've adopted Kulemin into your family, or that you were against the Kessel trade from the onset, not at all.
 
JaysCyYoung said:
The only player in all of hockey that doesn't go through one of the streaks that Kessel has apparently "patented" is Sidney Crosby.
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Yeah, we've outlined that before on here. I remember one instance where we took every 40 goal scorer over the last few years and showed how ****ing streaky they all are. Double digit goal less droughts aren't rare at all, it's actually rare for any of them to not have at least 1 or 2 7-10 game goal less droughts through out the season.

That's the only thing that aggravates me around here anymore, is how debunked bullshit just gets retread by the same offenders months later as if the original debunking didn't take place.
 
MindzEye said:
No goals in 19 games = snake bit, one of our top 4 forwards, 35 goal scorer
No goals in 5 games = start of ugly streak


No, you don't have an incredible (even for this place) level of bias, not at all. Your outlook on this matter has nothing to do with the fact that you've adopted Kulemin into your family, or that you were against the Kessel trade from the onset, not at all.
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What does Kulemin have to do with this??

Kessel has had a poor 5 games. Period. If it goes another 5, then that'd look like he's still prone to being a wildly streaky player.
 
LeafOfFaith said:
What does Kulemin have to do with this??
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Nothing really, I'm just pointing out your ridiculous bias when it comes to different players. If Kessel was goal less in 19 games you would be frothing at the mouth with the 'I told you so's'. But because it's your boy, it's the fault of someone else...Either Grabo isn't passing to him, or Mac isn't, and shortly your favourite whipping boy Connolly will be targeted for being unable to bank pucks into the net off of Kulemin.

Kessel has had a poor 5 games. Period. If it goes another 5, then that'd look like he's still prone to being a wildly streaky player.
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MindzEye said:
Yeah, we've outlined that before on here. I remember one instance where we took every 40 goal scorer over the last few years and showed how ****ing streaky they all are. Double digit goal less droughts aren't rare at all, it's actually rare for any of them to not have at least 1 or 2 7-10 game goal less droughts through out the season.

That's the only thing that aggravates me around here anymore, is how debunked bullshit just gets retread by the same offenders months later as if the original debunking didn't take place.
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We've been over this on the board before...there simply isn't a goal scorer in the league who wouldn't fit your definition of "wildly streaky", which then for all intents and purposes, renders your opinion on what a wildly streaky player is, utterly pointless.
 
MindzEye said:
Nothing really.
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Yeah, exactly.


We've been over this on the board before...there simply isn't a goal scorer in the league who wouldn't fit your definition of "wildly streaky", which then for all intents and purposes, renders your opinion on what a wildly streaky player is, utterly pointless.
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I like Kessel. I didn't like the price we paid for him back then, for good reason. So, it's not like I'm waiting in the wings expecting him to fail, like I am with Connolly for instance, who is crap. But a spade is a spade - Kessel is very streaky, and it's looking like he's started one the last 5 games. Just because you don't want that to be true doesn't mean it isn't. Hopefully he snaps out of it quickly and it doesn't turn into a 15 gamer.
 
if you honestly think that connolly is crap then i'm sorry but you REALLY don't know what you're talking about. you just have no concept of talent, i guess.

as for kessel.... here you are, whining about his 15 game slumps. nary a mention about kulemin's 19 game slump.

19 games without a goal. 1/4 of a season without scoring. DAMN GRABBBBBBO.


what's hilarious is that he spent a good 5 or 6 games playing alongside a pass first centre who is averaging just below a ppg this year. but, nope, the problem can't be your goldenshower boy kulemin!!!!
 
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