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OT: The Toronto Blue Jays

If the Jays go 7-10 the rest of the way:
  1. Yanks need to go: 11-6 to beat the Jays for the AL East
  2. Boston needs to go: 11-4 to beat the Jays for the AL East
  3. Houston needs to go: 11-5 to get the 2nd AL spot for a bye
  • The Jays are at the very least good enough to win 7 more games
  • Boston is not good enough to go 11-4 AND they have 3 games against the Tigers, another 3 against the Jays, and another against the Yanks (4th toughest schedule in the league). The Tiger games are the final 3 games in the season though so they could sit a player or two. Assuming Boston loses 1 game against each of these teams, they basically have to go perfect against the Rays and the A's. I don't see Boston 0.750 clip with this schedule.
  • NYY have the 3rd easiest schedule in the league, though they play a long road stand. After this Tiger game tonight, they have 3 at Boston, 4 at Baltimore, 3 at Minny, before coming back home for the final 6. Assuming they win 5 of the final 6 against the White Sox and Baltimore at home, that gives them room to lose 5 of the 10 on this road trip. I don't think they are good enough but it's doable.
    • also Boston and Yankees playing against each others, one of them will suffer at least. I'll cheer for Boston in that series.
  • Houston's schedule is relatively easy as well with games against the A's, the Angels, the Braves, etc. Can they go 11-5 after going 4-6 the last 10? sure but highly unlikely.

and all of that is assuming the Jays have an awful stretch of winning just 7 games. Surely we are better than that and none of these teams are good enough to be overly scared about.
 
CTheBigPicture said:
If the Jays go 7-10 the rest of the way:
  1. Yanks need to go: 11-6 to beat the Jays for the AL East
  2. Boston needs to go: 11-4 to beat the Jays for the AL East
  3. Houston needs to go: 11-5 to get the 2nd AL spot for a bye
  • The Jays are at the very least good enough to win 7 more games
  • Boston is not good enough to go 11-4 AND they have 3 games against the Tigers, another 3 against the Jays, and another against the Yanks (4th toughest schedule in the league). The Tiger games are the final 3 games in the season though so they could sit a player or two. Assuming Boston loses 1 game against each of these teams, they basically have to go perfect against the Rays and the A's. I don't see Boston 0.750 clip with this schedule.
  • NYY have the 3rd easiest schedule in the league, though they play a long road stand. After this Tiger game tonight, they have 3 at Boston, 4 at Baltimore, 3 at Minny, before coming back home for the final 6. Assuming they win 5 of the final 6 against the White Sox and Baltimore at home, that gives them room to lose 5 of the 10 on this road trip. I don't think they are good enough but it's doable.
    • also Boston and Yankees playing against each others, one of them will suffer at least. I'll cheer for Boston in that series.
  • Houston's schedule is relatively easy as well with games against the A's, the Angels, the Braves, etc. Can they go 11-5 after going 4-6 the last 10? sure but highly unlikely.

and all of that is assuming the Jays have an awful stretch of winning just 7 games. Surely we are better than that and none of these teams are good enough to be overly scared about.
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All is good if Hoffman doesnt get the closer role , time to hand it over to Seranthony

Just win fuck the hurt feelings
 
Can't wait for Santander to get back to the majors and sit on the bench late in a tie game so that IKF can take a PA.
 
zeke said:
can;t wait for Davis Schneider to be sent down to make room for Santander.
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Davis is clearly behind IKF and Straw in terms of PH pecking order, which is batshit, but if i have to guess France is DFA'd because of versatility, and if Santander is back before Bo ( which would be bad) then its Loperfido.

All of Clement, Gimenez and IKF on the team at the same time makes no sense to me.
 
I'm praying that IKF is only on the team because they are finally legit worried about the fact that Gimenez actually sucks.

Gimenez has had lots of PAs now and he's not even hitting at an acceptable level for a defensive bench infielder, let alone a starter.

back in 2015 when Devon Travis got injured we were stuck with a glaring hole at 2B - Ryan Goins, all glove and no bat. Ryan Goins had a terrible 85wrc+ that year.

Gimenez is at 73 this year.
 
zeke said:
I'm praying that IKF is only on the team because they are finally legit worried about the fact that Gimenez actually sucks.

Gimenez has had lots of PAs now and he's not even hitting at an acceptable level for a defensive bench infielder, let alone a starter.

back in 2015 when Devon Travis got injured we were stuck with a glaring hole at 2B - Ryan Goins, all glove and no bat. Ryan Goins had a terrible 85wrc+ that year.

Gimenez is at 73 this year.
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I very much doubt its this.

These guys ever since the loss to Seattle started jerking off to run prevention, and put it well above offense in their evals

From signing Kiermaier (twice), IKF in the first place, trading for and eating all of Gimenez's deal, trading for and using the hell out of Myles Straw, trading for Varsho.

I think they legit love having both IKF and Gimenez
 
MyNameIsJonas said:
These guys ever since the loss to Seattle started jerking off to run prevention, and put it well above offense in their evals

From signing Kiermaier (twice), IKF in the first place, trading for and eating all of Gimenez's deal, trading for and using the hell out of Myles Straw, trading for Varsho.

I think they legit love having both IKF and Gimenez
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it's you constantly pretending that defense and run-prevention don't exist or are worthless that is the actual problem in this evaluation
 
Gimenez is fine in the lineup when everyone else is mashing. The problem is when the lineup is struggling and hurt, and Gimenez is like the #6 hitter. Not worth the 22m or whatever price he cost, but whatever.

It will be curious to see what they do when everyone is back. France you expect is a prime option to be cut, but he's actually done pretty well as a Jay. Still expect Loperfido is the first to go back down, and IKF really should be next, for Bo+Santander. You still probably need to drop one more heading to the playoffs, although in theory I think you could stick with the 14 hitters, and still have 4 starters and 8 relievers I think. Most teams might want the extra bullpen arms, but I'm really not sure RP9 is someone we'd want to have pitching, I kind of feel the extra bat is more valuable for this squad.
 
I'm really not a fan of Gimenez thus far, and feel it was a waste. His D hasn't blown me away in the slightest.

Santander showing up out of nowhere and being great would be quite the add.
 
In his last 9 starts previous to today:

Gausman: 9gms, 6.6ip/gm, 63era-, 75fip-, 77xfip-, 6.0 avg.war/32gms


and it's probably going to be looking even better than that after today.


That's what you want your playoffs Gm1 starter to look like.
 
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