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OT: World Politics

MindzEye said:
The ukies new missile is a game changer. 100% produced in house and with enough range and payload to turn the russian oil industry into a memory within 6 months.

My concern is what Vlads response is going to be though. He only has 2 cards to play. Nuclear threats against ukie cities or full mobilization. This isn't a guy who will calmly fold his cards and politely walk away from this. He only knows how to push all in over and over.
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Yeah, his regime has serious foundational cracks, exacerbated by Ukraine's missile deployment, and his regime collapses with a war loss, but he could still do filthy damage on his way out. US "support" not to be relied upon, so other Western support welcome as hell, of course. Vlad's ridiculously insulated, so prob'ly good fucking luck with a "surgical" removal.
 
lecoqsportif said:
Bad harvest? Target associated warehousing and rail.
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Rail terminals and infrastructure have been common targets this year.

and yeah, shit harvests. The Russian ag sector is basically made up of two completely different systems. The first is ~80% of farms, run more or less the same way farming was done under the soviet union. Very low tech, very low yield per acre. The other ~20% are modern farms using equipment the Russians neither build nor have the parts to maintain and yield more or less the same per acre as a western farm. But as equipment breaks down, sanctions make getting parts a complete whore and unlike a lot of sectors, most complex farming equipment isn't made in China (the only real partner they have who would be useful in skirting sanctions on this) and what production China has is mostly for their own domestic farming industry. So over the last few years, more and more of the high yielding farms have starting leaning on the same methods used on the USSR era farms, with a predictable decline in yield.

For people who haven't been following the decline of Russia, I think there's going to be quite a bit of shock regarding just how hollowed out their economy is going to be by the end of this. If they don't westernize and instead turn more insular, they're going to end up heavily, heavily in debt to China and India when they reindustrialize a bunch of fully cannibalized sectors just to get their economy functioning again.
 
Between Lavrov and Vance it's often hard to figure out whose gobbledygook is more gobbledy.

www.yahoo.com

Russian foreign minister says ‘Ukraine has the right to exist’ with territory-related caveat

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said in an interview Sunday that Ukraine “has the right to exist” but added a caveat to that right related to territory. “Mr. Foreign Minister, let me ask you about something that President Putin said in June. He said, quote, ‘I consider the Russian and...
www.yahoo.com www.yahoo.com
 
MindzEye said:
www.ctvnews.ca

PM Carney visits Ukraine, Canada ‘not excluding boots on the ground’ in possible security guarantee, official says

Canada is not excluding the possibility of sending troops to Ukraine in the event it reaches a ceasefire with Russia, a senior Canadian government official said ahead of Independence Day celebrations in Kyiv where Prime Minister Mark Carney was to be recognized as the guest of honour on Sunday.
www.ctvnews.ca www.ctvnews.ca
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Count is probably already on Expedia looking to book a one way flight to Buenos Aires for his kid.
 
Cal Gal said:
Wtf???

Polish president's veto threatens Ukraine's Starlink access amid refugee aid dispute​

www.yahoo.com

Polish president's veto threatens Ukraine's Starlink access amid refugee aid dispute

WARSAW (Reuters) -Ukraine's access to Elon Musk's satellite internet service Starlink could be cut due to the Polish president's veto of a refugee aid bill, a Polish deputy prime minister said on Mond...
www.yahoo.com www.yahoo.com
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Incorrect, according to Polish Chief Chancellory


View: https://x.com/BoguckiZbigniew/status/1960012665675194724


The bill is a divisive one in Poland because uhhh...the Polish right wing fucking hates "migrants" and that's more or less their animating cause at the moment. Ukrainian refugees (who actually have higher employment numbers in Poland than native Poles, and jobs are not in short supply there at the moment) are bundled up into the "foreign migrants" that the Polish right wing has taken target at.
 
Cal Gal said:
Also, hate to keep asking but. . . Translation or link?
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tweet was in polish, was posted in the r/europe subreddit by a polish speaker with a brief overview of what was said. Basically accusing the Deputy PM or playing politics and stated that the bill doesn't put Ukrainian use of starlink in jeopardy.
 
kyivindependent.com

Norway pledges $8.5 billion in aid to Ukraine in 2026

The move underscores Norway’s growing role in supporting Ukraine’s defense as Western partners move closer to finalizing security guarantees amid a push to organize a high-level meeting between Kyiv and Moscow.
kyivindependent.com kyivindependent.com

Smart smart. Better to spend some of that national wealth fund in Ukraine than to not and have it end up owned by Russia in 5-10 years.
 
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