I have to agree that there are some holes in the Yanks and Sox lineups that could be troublesome.
At the same time, I don't agree with these sorts of sentiments:
they were very lucky last year to have crazy good way-better-than-they've-ever-been-before years from Lester and DiceK.
-A couple of 2nd year pitchers, one with a proven track record of success, the other a pitcher long touted as having very, very good potential. What Dice K and Lester did last season wasn't a fluke and isn't unlikely to be replicated. I could see Dice K posting a slightly worse ERA but that stat runs in peaks and valleys (see: Halladay, Roy). He'll float around the 3ish mark because he's a good pitcher.
And the same thing might be the case with Lester. Maybe last year was a fluke and he'll never perform at that level again, but it wasn't like what he did last year was earth shattering or unexpected. He was expected to develop into a good pitcher and he posted good numbers.
Same wiht Tampa, why are they due for a dropoff? They had an oustanding season last year and actually have more room for growth rather than decline given that 1) they have Price in the minor, who might be their best pitcher right now. 2) Longoria will presumably be with the team for the full season. 3) Their most established hitter, Crawford, had an injury plagued and substandard season last year. After three straight seasons of about .300/.340/.460/.800 he batted .272/.319/.400/.719. 4) Kazmir, their best and most established starter, is healthy this year.
Actually, I see little reason to believe that the Rays will fall off at all, and it looks like they have quite a bit of room for growht. The only question marks are Sonnanstein and Niemann, but then, these were first round picks and are backed up by Price. The pen is also improved as they should get almost a full season out of Bradford, and added the very effective Shouse.
with that said, with Rodriguez out, the Yankees lineup really isn't so impressive. Meanwhile, Boston misses Manny way, way, way more than they will ever admit. There is also a very good chance that Youkilis and Pedroia see theri numbers decline from last year, when they both had surprisingly good power numbers.