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Play-in Round: Toronto Maple Leafs (8) vs Columbus Blue Jackets (9)

Preston said:
Statistically speaking any team hoping for more than one cup in a decade is probably getting a little greedy. You could make a case for 2, I suppose.

But I'd be more than fine with 1.
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I think if you're for real, you gotta win twice in a decade. You can't be a one and done.

So while I would trade Volc's first born for one Cup, I do kinda expect for a team like ours to win twice. At least twice.
 
NHL "hits" stats are widely known to be complete BS in how they are calculated from team to team. And hits themselves really aren't that important and don't necessarily a reflect a tough team that wins battles and forechecks well.
 
leaffan2005 said:
NHL "hits" stats are widely known to be complete BS in how they are calculated from team to team. And hits themselves really aren't that important and don't necessarily a reflect a tough team that wins battles and forechecks well.
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How about scoring chances in the slot?
 
But what if you have a heavy forecheck/toughness/gritness and don’t do anything With the puck once you retrieve it
 
Another funny thing is that Tortorella is supposed to have this big coaching advantage that everyone talks about...without articulating exactly what it is Torts is going to do better than Keefe. Or ever being asked to.
 
It's the standard bs about defense wins when it matters. They block a lot of shots. Genius, I guess, to motivate guys to do that.
 
My biggest worry is the Elvis goalie guy. If he goes lights out, it could be trouble. I hope though that the Leafs can get to him early, as it will be a big bump in quality going from practicing with the Jackets shooters vs. the Leafs.
 
JackBurton said:
No media ever wants to report the stats difference with the same roster between Keefe/Babcock.
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The Athletic has reported on this in depth and continue to bring it into discussions. Just tonight on Mirtle's podcast, he made significant issue out of the Keefe stats when assessing the Leafs chances against the BJs.
 
All situations:

18-19: STL #8 xgf60 / #3 xga60 = #4 xgf% --------> Plyffs: #11sv%
17-18: WSH #25 xgf60 / #26 xga60 = #26 xgf% -> Plyffs: #5sv%
16-17: PIT #1 xgf60 / #27 xga60 = #5 xgf% ------> Plyffs: #3sv%
15-16: PIT #2 xgf60 / #6 xga60 = #2 xgf% --------> Plyffs: #8sv%
14-15: CHI #6 xgf60 / #10 xga60 = #5 xgf% ------> Plyffs: #6sv%
13-14: LAK #6 xgf60 / #10 xga60 = #3 xgf% -----> Plyffs: #7 sv%
12-13: CHI #13 xgf60 / #5 xga60 = #6 xgf% ------> Plyffs: #4 sv%
11-12: LAK #11 xgf60 / #5 xga60 = #6 xgf% -----> Plyffs: #1sv%
10-11: BOS #11 xgf60 / #13 xga60 = #13 xgf% -> Plyffs #1 sv%
09-10: CHI #5 xgf60 / #2 xga60 = #1 xgf% --------> Plyffz #9sv%
08-09: PIT #14 xgf60 / #15 xga60 = #11 xgf% --> Plyffs #11sv%
07-08: DET #2 xgf60 / #1 xga60 = #1 xgf% ------> Plyffs #3sv%

So you kinda have to be elite in this department to win a cup - 9 of the last 12 cup winners were top-6 xgf teams. There doesn't seem be any favoring of offense vs defense. Both seem similarly important.

Of the 3 anomalies....

....BOS received otherworldly goaltending to carry them to a cup.

.....PIT...well, I think we just chalk this up to an being an all time collection of talent that were maybe too young to put up great numbers all regular season.

......WSH is the weirdest one. The bottom line is that they suddenly flipped the switch in the playoffs and put up the 2nd best xgf% in the playoffs. I guess we can argue that they didn't care about that regular season after choking in the previous playoffs. Or maybe they just did get lucky.


And again, the leafs rank #8 on the year in xgf% all situations.

Under Keefe: #2 xgf60 / #10 xga60 = #3 xgf%
 
JackBurton said:
No media ever wants to report the stats difference with the same roster between Keefe/Babcock.
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All whilst insisting that tortorella's coaching is an important advantage.

Meanwhile, Keefe gets judged by babcock's leafs.
 
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